Swedish vendor predicts 15-fold increase in mobile data traffic from 2011-2017; mobile broadband subscriptions to hit 5 billion.
Global mobile data traffic will grow 15-fold to over 8,000 petabytes per month between 2011 and 2017, by which date it will be split evenly between mobile PCs/tablets and smartphones for the first time, according to a new report from Ericsson.
"We predict around 9 billion mobile subscriptions in 2017," of which 5 billion will be mobile broadband subscriptions, said Elin Pettersson, strategic marketing at Ericsson, presenting the Swedish vendor's latest traffic and market report in London on Wednesday.
As of the first quarter of this year mobile subscriptions worldwide numbered around 6.2 billion, with 1.1 billion being mobile broadband subscriptions, according to Ericsson, which defines mobile broadband as cdma2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, mobile WiMAX and TD-SCDMA. It counts mobile subscriptions for end-user devices connected to cellular networks, but not machine-to-machine (M2M) connections.
By 2017 85% of the population will have access to 3G mobile coverage, Pettersson said, while 50% will have LTE coverage.
"If you have access to a device then you will have access to the Internet," she said.
In addition to new subscriptions boosting total data traffic, an increase in consumption per user will also play a part in the growth. According to Ericsson, a mobile PC subscription will generate 8 GB of data traffic per month, a tablet 3.2 GB and a smartphone 1.1 GB; by the end of 2011, the average mobile PC generated 2 GB per month, a high-traffic smartphone 500 MB and an average smartphone 250 MB.
Many factors influence mobile data traffic patterns, including the user's data plan, the availability of video, device type, screen size and resolution, the quality of the mobile network and how the mobile operator manages data traffic.
"It's very important for each operator to know what is happening in their networks," said Pettersson. "There is no typical network."
The report is based on measurements taken from the networks of various mobile operators worldwide, which Ericsson says provides a representative base for calculating global traffic.
Global mobile data traffic will grow 15-fold to over 8,000 petabytes per month between 2011 and 2017, by which date it will be split evenly between mobile PCs/tablets and smartphones for the first time, according to a new report from Ericsson.
"We predict around 9 billion mobile subscriptions in 2017," of which 5 billion will be mobile broadband subscriptions, said Elin Pettersson, strategic marketing at Ericsson, presenting the Swedish vendor's latest traffic and market report in London on Wednesday.As of the first quarter of this year mobile subscriptions worldwide numbered around 6.2 billion, with 1.1 billion being mobile broadband subscriptions, according to Ericsson, which defines mobile broadband as cdma2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, mobile WiMAX and TD-SCDMA. It counts mobile subscriptions for end-user devices connected to cellular networks, but not machine-to-machine (M2M) connections.
By 2017 85% of the population will have access to 3G mobile coverage, Pettersson said, while 50% will have LTE coverage.
"If you have access to a device then you will have access to the Internet," she said.
In addition to new subscriptions boosting total data traffic, an increase in consumption per user will also play a part in the growth. According to Ericsson, a mobile PC subscription will generate 8 GB of data traffic per month, a tablet 3.2 GB and a smartphone 1.1 GB; by the end of 2011, the average mobile PC generated 2 GB per month, a high-traffic smartphone 500 MB and an average smartphone 250 MB.
Many factors influence mobile data traffic patterns, including the user's data plan, the availability of video, device type, screen size and resolution, the quality of the mobile network and how the mobile operator manages data traffic.
"It's very important for each operator to know what is happening in their networks," said Pettersson. "There is no typical network."
The report is based on measurements taken from the networks of various mobile operators worldwide, which Ericsson says provides a representative base for calculating global traffic.
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